At the beginning of each month, the German public broadcaster, ARD (Association of Public Broadcasters in the Federal Republic of Germany), publishes various political opinion polls. For May, there is also the measurement of voting for the election to the EU Parliament on 6-9 June this year.
The EU elections — the Greens lose every fourth voter
In the EU elections in 2019, the Greens had 20.5 percent support. If the election had been this coming Sunday, 15 percent would have voted for the Greens. This means that the party currently in government will lose every fourth voter. The Social Democrats SPD would get 14 percent, the AfD 15 percent and Wagenknecht’s party 7 percent. The Christian Democratic party CDU/CDS would get the absolute most with 30 percent. Whether this will be the result at the beginning of June is uncertain because turnout in the European elections is often very low, which affects parties the more they depend on low-income voters. Because such voters have the easiest time dropping out of voting. The Greens will probably make a better result than the opinion poll, as their voters have a good income and a high level of education.
Besides, the EU Parliament is not a parliament other than in name. The EU Parliament is at best only a hearing body, it does not have “all power in this room” like the Norwegian Storting. It also affects electoral participation. People often understand more than what they are told is the truth.
German choice
The support for the mentioned parties is the same for elections to the Bundestag, the German parliament. Slightly higher for the AfD, 18 percent instead of 15, and slightly lower for Wagenknecht, 5 percent instead of 7. Die Linke, the party that Wagenknecht helped to build, seems to have disintegrated after she left the party.
Significant opposition — without power
Overall, there is a wind blowing with from around a quarter to a third of support from the opposition against the policy pursued by the current government in Germany. Nevertheless, the majority for the current policy is solid. But if the business organizations start to react to the energy policy, with both reduced access to electric power, at a higher price, the Christian Democratic Party can get a clear majority and also change other policies than the climate-based cutbacks, such as immigration policy.
The fear of war increases
The threat to peace and security has increased sharply in Germany. Naturally enough because of the war in Ukraine. Admittedly, the figure is compared with the support from as far back as four years ago, from 2019. At that time, 60 per cent believed that the threat was small or “didn’t exist at all”. It has now become 69 percent who believe it is “strong”and every fifth in the opinion poll thinks it is “been strong». See table.
Germany — Europe’s most important country
Germany is the EU’s and Western Europe’s largest state by population, and with the most important industry. What happens politically and economically in Germany affects the whole of Europe, both inside and outside the EU. If things go badly for Germany, things don’t get any better for the rest of Europe, we must be able to say that it is almost a “law”.
It is not the Germans’ feelings that determine whether things are going badly, but whether the actual German production result produces better prosperity than the year before.
In addition to positioning itself as a country with a decline in economic growth, completely in accordance with adopted policy, Germany is now more clearly than ever the representative of the United States in Europe, and also Israel’s main supporter not only in Europe, but also in the whole world.
This article was published by Politician.
Tags: Germany Greens AfD holds position BSW firmly blocking border
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