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In Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Boston Celtics will meet the Miami Heat. The Celtics take on the Heat in a game that Boston is currently a double-digit favorite by 14.5 points. The game has a point total of 200.5.
Check out everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
- Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
- TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN
Favourite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | -14.5 | -110 | -125 | 200.5 | -110 | -120 | -1250 | +750 |
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
ATS Pick: Celtics (- 14.5)
O/U Pick: Above (200.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 119 – Heat 104
Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights
- The Celtics and their opponent have combined to score over 200.5 points, the current matchup’s point total, in 80 of 82 games this year.
- This year, 70 of the Heat’s 82 total matchups have gone over 200.5 total points scored.
- Between them, these two teams average 30.2 more points per game (230.7) than this game’s over/under (200.5).
- Opponents of the two teams average a combined 17.1 more points per game, 217.6, than this matchup’s over/under of 200.5 points.
- Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year and has walked away with the win 62 times (79.5%) in those games.
- Miami has been victorious in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests it has been chosen as an underdog this season.
- Boston has come out on top in six of its last seven head-to-head meetings with Miami.
- The Celtics have an advantage against the spread as well (4-3) when taking on the Heat.
Miami Heat
MIA
+13.5
+667
o200
Boston Celtics
BOS
-13.5
-1000
u200
Celtics Recent Trends
- The Celtics have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
- Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 216.4 points in its last 10 games, 15.9 more than the 200.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Celtics have played 82 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
- Boston has been favored by 14.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 7-5 ATS in those matchups.
- Celtics games this year have gone over the point a total of 43 times in 82 opportunities (52.4%).
- The 120.6 points per game the Celtics average are 12.2 more points than the Heat give up (108.4).
- When Boston puts up more than 108.4 points, it is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall.
- The Celtics are shooting 48.7% from the field this season, 2.0 percentage points higher than the 46.7% the Heat allow to opponents.
- Against the spread, the Celtics have fared better at home, covering 23 times in 41 home games, and 19 times in 41 road games.
- In terms of over/unders, Boston hits the over more consistently when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 22 times in 41 opportunities this season (53.7%). On the road, it has hit the over 21 times in 41 opportunities (51.2%).
- The Celtics have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 37-4 (.902). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 25-12 (.676).
Celtics Recent Stats
State | Average | Rank |
---|---|---|
Points Scored | 120.6 | 2 |
Points Allowed | 109.2 | 5 |
Rebounds | 46.3 | 2 |
Assists | 26.9 | 14 |
Steals | 6.8 | 26 |
Blocks | 6.6 | 1 |
Celtics Leaders
- Jayson Tatum posts 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- Jaylen Brown averages 23.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the field and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made treys per contest.
- Derrick White posts 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steals and 1.2 blocks.
- Kristaps Porzingis puts up 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.9 blocks.
- Jrue Holiday puts up 12.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.0% from the floor and 42.9% from beyond the arc (seventh in league) with 2.0 made 3-pointers per contest.
Celtics Player Props
Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
---|---|---|---|
Jayson Tatum | 26.5 | -112 | 26.9 |
Jaylen Brown | 22.5 | -108 | 23.0 |
Derrick White | 15.5 | -120 | 15.2 |
Jrue Holiday | 10.5 | -125 | 12.5 |
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests.
- Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 13.7 points greater than the 200.5 total given for this matchup.
- The Heat have 41 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
- Heat games this year have hit the over on 35 of 82 set point totals (42.7%).
- The Heat score an average of 110.1 points per game, just 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics give up to opponents.
- Miami has put together a 28-12-1 ATS record and a 33-8 overall record in games it scores more than 109.2 points.
- The Heat’s 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.2 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (45.3%).
- In 2023-24 against the spread, the Heat have a lower winning percentage at home (.390, 16-25-0 record) than on the road (.610, 25-14-2).
- In 2023-24, a higher percentage of Miami’s games have finished above the over/under at home (51.2%, 21 of 41) compared to on the road (34.1%, 14 of 41).
- The Heat’s winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .710 (22-9), and on the road it is .812 (13-3).
Heat Recent Stats
State | Average | Rank |
---|---|---|
Points Scored | 110.1 | 26 |
Points Allowed | 108.4 | 3 |
Rebounds | 42.3 | 25 |
Assists | 25.8 | 18 |
Steals | 7.5 | 15 |
Blocks | 3.4 | 30 |
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. He’s also sinking 52.1% of his shots from the floor.
- Jaime Jaquez is putting up 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He’s draining 48.9% of his shots from the floor.
- Duncan Robinson is averaging 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He is draining 45.0% of his shots from the floor and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per contest.
- Tyler Herro gets the Heat 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
- The Heat are getting 10.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Caleb Martin this year.
Heat Player Props
Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
---|---|---|---|
Tyler Hero | 20.5 | +100 | 20.8 |
Bam Adebayo | 20.5 | -110 | 19.3 |
Caleb Martin | 11.5 | -105 | 10.0 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.