Frp, Measurement | FRP with super numbers: – Never had a stronger measurement

In Nettavisen’s party poll for May, the Frp takes a powerful leap: Up 3.5 percentage points compared to last month.

The survey was carried out by InFact on behalf of Nettavisen.

– The big shock is that the FRP advances 3.5 percentage points from 15.3 to 18.8. We have never measured Frp this high in these measurements. FRP has good drive, especially among young people – and young men. Velle and co. captures something. It can be about outsiders, school, girls, the system seen in the light of the men’s committee’s report, says managing director Lars Helander of InFact to Nettavisen.

If there were an election now, the FRP would get 36 mandates.

– These are pleasant numbers that show that more and more people want Frp’s solutions that give people more freedom and security, says party leader Sylvi Listhaug to Nettavisen.

The “Simen Velle effect” lifts the FRP: – Way ahead of the others

Blue men

It is in the 18-29 age group that the party does best with 23.8 per cent. Men are clearly more politically blue than women. A full 26.2 percent of men would have voted for the FRP and 10.6 percent of women would have voted the same. Ap has the largest support among women with 24.3 per cent.

Best done outside Oslo

However, the FRP is struggling in Oslo. Here, only 11.2 percent will vote for the FRP. In the rest of Eastern Norway and in Northern Norway, 20.8 and 20.5 respectively would vote for the FRP. According to this survey, the Conservative Party is the largest in Oslo with 30.4 per cent.

Stronger than in other measurements

It is important to remember that there are always margins of error in measurements, says election analyst Svein Tore Marthinsen to Nettavisen.

– The FRP is stronger here than in other polls, and it may be that they are measured somewhat too high, says Marthinsen.

– It is interesting that Høyre, Ap and Frp are roughly equal in size in the survey. This indicates increasing fragmentation. The figures show a bourgeois majority. The majority is dependent on both FRP, Høyre, Venstre and KrF. But it is difficult to imagine a four-party government, says Marthinsen and points out that the FRP left the Solberg government in 2020 on the grounds that it did not work well to sit together with KrF and V.

Frp has built itself up successively, says Marthinsen.

– There may be several explanations. Dissatisfaction with the incumbent government is an obvious factor. FRP is the clearest opposition party in the Storting. That probably means a lot. The Conservative Party appears a little tamer in the eyes of some voters. And the Conservative Party is now losing voters directly to the FRP. The INP has been a major competitor for the Frp, but internal strife there has set them back and made it easier for the Frp.

Marthinsen tells Nettavisen that he has asked InFact to ask voters which party they have as their second choice. Here, ten percent answer that they have the FRP as their second choice in a parliamentary election.

– This could mean that the FRP has a potential in the range of 25-30 per cent in today’s electorate. It’s really a long way to go, but that says something about a party in progress.

Ap has also gone from 18.4 to 20 per cent, up 1.6 per cent compared to April.

– Working to remove the Støre government

Listhaug has hairy goals.

– I can promise that the FRP will continue to work hard for the Støre government to go away next year. Our goal is to become as large as possible so that we ensure the greatest possible impact in order to lower taxes and fees, and keep the population safe, says Listhaug.